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Identifying patients with suspected gastro-oesophageal cancer in primary care: derivation and validation of an algorithm by Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol.

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Presentation on theme: "Identifying patients with suspected gastro-oesophageal cancer in primary care: derivation and validation of an algorithm by Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol."— Presentation transcript:

1 Identifying patients with suspected gastro-oesophageal cancer in primary care: derivation and validation of an algorithm by Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol Coupland BJGP Volume 61(592):e707-e714 November 1, 2011 ©2011 by British Journal of General Practice

2 Incidence rates of dysphagia, haematemesis, appetite loss, weight loss, and abdominal pain in males and females per 100 000 person-years in the derivation cohort. Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol Coupland Br J Gen Pract 2011;61:e707-e714 ©2011 by British Journal of General Practice

3 Hazard ratios for gastro-oesophageal cancer by age. Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol Coupland Br J Gen Pract 2011;61:e707-e714 ©2011 by British Journal of General Practice

4 Hazard ratios for symptoms for gastro-oesophageal cancer by age in females. Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol Coupland Br J Gen Pract 2011;61:e707-e714 ©2011 by British Journal of General Practice

5 Hazard ratios for symptoms for gastro-oesophageal cancer by age in males. Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol Coupland Br J Gen Pract 2011;61:e707-e714 ©2011 by British Journal of General Practice

6 Mean predicted risk and observed risk of gastro-oesophageal cancer over 2 years by tenth of predicted risk applying the risk-prediction scores to the validation cohort. Julia Hippisley-Cox, and Carol Coupland Br J Gen Pract 2011;61:e707-e714 ©2011 by British Journal of General Practice

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