1. T-PARC/TCS-08 Quicklook 29 October 2008

2. Operations by the numbers… 9 participating nations –Canada, China, England, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, United States Over 500 aircraft mission flight hours –216 C-130, 179 P-3, 83 Falcon, 37 DOTSTAR 76 missions –25 Falcon, 23 C-130, 21 P-3, 7 DOTSTAR 7 airfields –Andersen AB, Guam; NAF Atsugi, Japan; Kadena AB, Japan; Taiwan, Yokota AB, Japan; MCAS Iwakuni, Japan; Misawa AB, Japan 11 tropical circulation systems –4 typhoons, 1 TD, 1 ex-TS, 5 others

3. Tropical Circulation Systems by the numbers… During August – September, there were 12 total systems > TD intensity over the western North Pacific –4 typhoons, 4 tropical storms, 4 TDs 51 TCS systems –With a few recycled a time or two 11 systems in which aircraft missions were flown –4 typhoons, 1 TD, 1 ex-TS, 5 others 72% of all missions were flown on the 4 typhoon cases –6 Nuri, 28 Sinlaku, 5 Hagiput, 15 Jangmi (54/75 = 72%)

4. WC-130 Missions per Objective

5. WC-130 Time per Objective

6. NRL P-3 Missions per Objective

7. NRL P-3 Time per Objective

8. DLR FALCON Missions per Objective

9. DLR FALCON Time per Objective

10. Dropsondes: WC-130 –604 total –564 good –AXBTs 229 total 191 good NRL P-3 –343 total –270 preliminary number of good drops pending final mission reports DLR FALCON –323 total DOTSTAR –124 total TOTAL: –1394 dropped –1281 good (preliminary)

11. T-PARC Driftsonde Operations Goals 17 Flights 38 sondes/flight 6 week operation period NPS staff/students operate system via WEB Send data to GTS quasi real time Drop 646 Sondes (38x17) Reality (Preliminary) 16 Balloons Launched 2 Balloon failures –Flight #5 & #8 1 Electronics hardware failure –Flight #7 13 Good Flights 253 Good Soundings Averaged ~19.5 good sondes/flights Slides by Terry Hock, NCAR

12. Driftsonde Flight Durations Slides by Terry Hock, NCAR

13. Preliminary Summary of Soundings 13 Gondolas flown (38x13 = 494 sondes) 34 sondes ejected at launch 66 sondes not attempted to drop 394 sondes available to drop Good Drops: 252 64% (of 394) Failed to release: 117 29.7% (of 394) Questionable data: 26 6.6% (of 394) Slides by Terry Hock, NCAR

14. Driftsonde Balloons 1 -9 Driftsonde Balloons 10 -16 Reduced westward distance in time 140160 170180170150 140160 170180170150

15. Operations: Aircraft – buoy deployment P-3 flight track 2313 UTC 26 September First buoy deployment In TY Hagupit several days earlier Second deployment in STY Jangmi Buoy, aircraft, and satellite data in Google Earth First occurrence of the deployment of drifting buoys ahead of a category 5 tropical cyclone (Jangmi). Chart at left and imagery below are from a few hours after the deployment of the buoys along the diagonal to the northwest of the TC

16. Year of Tropical Convection Jointly coordinated by WMO:WCRP and WWRP-THORPEX Through support from ONR and NSF, ECMWF analyses and forecasts are available for the T-PARC and TCS-08 time period T799 4 times daily 10-day forecasts 3-h resolution Available at: http://data- portal.ecmwf.int/data/d/yotc

17. Mission Summaries Track of tropical circulation system Time periods in which aircraft missions were conducted Data base –Aircrafts involved –Objectives –Hours –Data Dropsonde Radar AXBTs Flight level Lidar Notes

18. TCS-006 1 Mission 1 TC Formation - Survey –C-130 Coverage 07/1516 – 07/2215

19. TCS-006 DOTSTAR none C-130 07/1516 – 07/2215 P-3 none Coverage 07/1516 – 07/2215 Falcon none Notes Survey for possible low-level circulation associated with TCS-06 Square spiral pattern 20 drops 9 AXBTs 5:34 on-station time

20. TY Nuri (TCS-015 / TD13W) 6 Missions 4 TC fprmation –P-3, C-130 2 TC Structure/SAT –C-130 Coverage 15/2252 – 16/0426 16/1945 – 17/0415 17/1647 – 18/0525 18/1804 – 19/0325

21. TY Nuri (TCS-015 / TD13W) DOTSTAR 20/0843-20/1325 C-130 16/1945 – 17/0415 17/1647 – 17/2321 18/1804 – 19/0325 P-3 15/2252 – 16/0426 16/2206 – 17/0349 17/2157 – 18/0525 Coverage 15/2252 – 16/0426 16/1945 – 17/0415 17/1647 – 18/0525 18/1804 – 19/0325 Falcon none Notes 4 TC formation missions o 2 survey missions o 2 formation missions o 1 each by WC130 and P3 Satellite validation missions flown First T-PARC DOTSTAR mission

22. TCS-017 1 Mission 1 Genesis –C-130 Coverage 24/1827 – 25/0325

23. TCS-017 DOTSTAR none C-130 24/1827 – 25/0325 P-3 none Coverage 24/1827 – 25/0325 Falcon none Notes TC Formation survey pattern Lawnmower pattern 24 dropsondes 15 AXBTs

24. TCS-025 Coverage 26/1812 – 27/0725 27/1953 – 28/0515 28/2110 – 29/0615 29/2210 – 30/0135 30/2210 – 31/0205 7 Missions 5 TC Formation: Survey –P-3, C-130 2 Tropical plume/ET –Falcon

25. TCS-025 DOTSTAR none C-130 26/1812 – 27/0725 27/1953 – 28/0515 28/2110 – 29/0135 P-3 28/0024 – 28/0620 28/2240 – 29/0615 Coverage 26/1812 – 27/0725 27/1953 – 28/0515 28/2110 – 29/0615 29/2210 – 30/0135 30/2210 – 21/0205 Falcon 29/2210 – 30/0135 30/2210 – 31/0205 Notes WC130 patterns Survey for low-level circulation Lawnmower then square spiral P3 TC formation survey of asymmetric convection patterns FALCON flew in plume of tropical moisture and transforming TCS disturbance

26. Falcon #2 20080830/00Z

27. Falcon #3 20080831/00Z

28. TCS-030 2 Missions 2 TC Formation Survey –P-3, C-130 Coverage 01/1754 – 02/0219

29. TCS-030 DOTSTAR none C-130 01/1754 – 02/0130 P-3 01/1906 – 02/0219 Coverage 01/1754 – 02/0219 Falcon none Notes TCS030 was a tropical wave with good upper-level support – thought to be a good candidate for development WC130 and P3 each flew TC formation survey patterns WC130 flew square spiral pattern

30. TY Sinlaku (TCS-033 / TD15W) 28 Missions 8 Structure –P-3, C-130, DOTSTAR 6 Targeting –Falcon 14 ET –P-3, C-130, Falcon Coverage 09/0030 – 09/1045 09/2100 – 10/1225 10/2043 – 11/1828 12/1138 – 12/2318 13/2330 – 14/0555 15/2135 – 16/0205 16/0500 – 16/0800 16/2044 –17/1115 17/2224 – 18/0720 18/2235 – 19/0725 20/0156 – 20/1206 20/2205 – 21/0205

31. T-PARC Sinlaku Missions DOTSTAR 09/2100 – 10/0231 10/2043 – 11/0242 15/2143 – 16/0205 C-130 09/0030 – 09/1045 10/0140 – 10/1225 11/0728 – 11/1828 12/1138 – 12/2318 16/2044 – 17/0426 17/2224 – 18/0713 19/0053 – 19/0711 20/0156 – 20/1206 P-3 10/2019 – 11/0602 16/2053 – 17/0515 17/2239 – 18/0616 19/0015 – 19/0725 20/0235 – 20/1145 Coverage 09/0030 – 09/1045 09/2100 – 10/1225 10/2043 – 11/1828 12/1138 – 12/2318 13/2330 – 14/0555 15/2135 – 16/0205 16/0500 – 16/0800 16/2044 –17/1115 17/2224 – 18/0720 18/2235 – 19/0725 20/0156 – 20/1206 20/2205 – 21/0205 Note: Times listed above are times aircraft were aloft and do not necessarily reflect on-station times. DLR Falcon 11/0320 – 11/0720 11/0815 – 11/1220 13/2330 – 14/0315 14/0445 – 14/0555 15/2135 – 16/0120 16/0500 – 16/0800 17/0320 – 17/0635 17/0750 – 17/1115 18/0325 – 18/0720 18/2235 – 18/2355 19/0110 – 19/0510 20/2205 – 21/0205

32. TY Sinlaku (TCS-033 / TD15W) Notes Multiple mission types with all aircraft See reports on catalog

33. Falcon #14 20080917/10Z

34. Sinlaku 17 September 05:30 UTC

36. TCS-037 (TD16W) 5 Missions 4 TC formation –P-3, C-130 1 Targeting / ET –Falcon Coverage 06/1946 – 07/0519 07/2208 – 08/0815 08/2210 – 09/0722

37. TCS-037 (TD16W) DOTSTAR none C-130 06/1946 – 07/0519 07/2208 – 08/0745 P-3 07/2345 – 08/0815 09/0148 – 09/0722 Coverage 06/1946 – 07/0519 07/2208 – 08/0815 08/2210 – 09/0722 Falcon 08/2210 – 09/0150 Notes TC Formation – survey missions WC130 flew square spiral patterns P3 flights obtained data on TUTT cell structure and surrounding convection

38. TY Hagiput (TCS-043 / TD18W) 4 Missions 2 TC formation survey –P-3 2 Structure –P-3, DOTSTAR Coverage 13/2003 – 14/0355 14/2008 – 15/0230 21/2100 – 22/0650

39. TY Hagiput (TCS-043 / TD18W) DOTSTAR 21/2100 – 22/0300 C-130 14/2008 – 15/0230 P-3 13/2003 – 14/0355 14/2014 – 15/0123 21/2235 – 22/0650 Coverage 13/2003 – 14/0355 14/2008 – 15/0230 21/2100 – 22/0650 Falcon none Notes P3 missions were several days prior to formation as the tropical wave passed by Guam Structure mission done during transit from Kadena AFB to Andersen AFB

40. STY Jangmi (TCS-047 / TD19W) Coverage 23/0012 – 23/0711 24/1713 – 25/0320 25/2003 – 26/0650 26/2008 – 27/1417 27/2044 – 28/0142 28/0310 – 28/1110 29/0350 – 29/0710 29/2220 – 30/0655 01/0525 – 01/1310 15 Missions 1 TC formation –P-3 7 Structure –P-3, C-130, DOTSTAR 4 Targeting –Falcon 3 ET –Falcon

41. TY Jangmi (TCS-047 / TD19W) DOTSTAR 26/2045 – 27/0215 27/2044 – 28/0142 C-130 24/1713 – 25/0320 25/2003 – 26/0650 27/0208 – 27/1417 P-3 23/0012 – 23/0711 24/2015 – 25/0303 26/2008 – 27/0506 Coverage 23/0012 – 23/0711 24/1713 – 25/0320 25/2003 – 26/0650 26/2008 – 27/1417 27/2044 – 28/0142 28/0310 – 28/1110 29/0350 – 29/0710 29/2220 – 30/0655 01/0525 – 01/1310 Falcon 28/0310 – 28/0700 28/0845 – 28/1110 29/0350 – 29/0710 29/2220 – 30/0140 30/0350 – 30/0655 01/0525 – 01/0840 01/1040 – 01/1310

42. Typhoon Sinlaku 10-11 September: 4 Aircraft Missions 0000 180012000600 120018000000 10 September 11 September WC-130: Center fixes, satellite validation, structure, intensity NRL P-3: Outer band structure FALCON: Typhoon Targeting DOTSTAR: Typhoon targeting

43. Targeting Motivation: Track Uncertainty 10 September ECMWF Strike ProbabilityJMA Ensemble Members Numerical model aids

44. TCS-049 1 Mission 1 Genesis (?) –P-3 Coverage 02/2115 – 03/0430

45. TCS-049 DOTSTAR none C-130 none P-3 02/2115 – 03/0430 Coverage 02/2115 – 03/0430 Falcon none Notes Survey of general convection south of Guam Weak tropical wave

46. TCS-051 DOTSTAR none C-130 none P-3 03/2224 – 03/0805 Coverage 03/2224 – 03/0805 Falcon none Notes Detailed observations of MCS evolution

47. Firsts First operation of WC-130Js at 31,000 ft altitude except when penetrating a mature TC –Dropped sondes and AXBTs from high altitude –Timed with passage of polar-orbiting satellites for satellite intensity validation First systematic targeting operation in the WPAC –Comparison of several methods from a variety of operational and research organizations –Multiple aircraft –ECMWF/UKMO Data Targeting System First four plane operation in a WPAC TC First buoy drop in front of a WPAC TC –Two TCs –First time a category 5 TC passed over buoys dropped in its path First systematic observations of full extratropical transition process –Multiple aircraft and land-based radar –Timed with satellite overpass

48. Firsts First operation of the Driftsonde in the Pacific –Launch from Hawaii –Dropsonde data retrieved and sent to GTS for use in operational numerical weather forecasting models First use of the ELDORA radar in typhoons over the western North Pacific flight operations in: –Cloud clusters –Developing tropical cyclones –Mature tropical cyclones –Tropical cyclones undergoing extratropical transition