1. Developing a Spatial Hazard Index Methodology Using ModelBuilder Joe Ludwig Geography 596A January 6, 2009 Advisor: Dr. Todd Bacastow Photo Source: NOAA

2. Overview Background Objectives Methodology Limitations Timeline Progress Anticipated Results

3. Background Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP)‏ US Transportation Command (TRANSCOM)‏

4. Background

6. Aggregation to Political Boundaries Pattern Analysis VS

7. Background Geographic Information Science & Technology (GIS&T) Body of Knowledge

8. Objectives

9. Methodology PROCESS Geodatabase Hazard Raster Surfaces Reclassified Surfaces Weighting Matrix Monthly Hazard Surfaces Monthly Composite Hazards Index OUTPUTS Composite Hazards Index Data Preparation Spatial Analysis Reclassification Weighting Temporal Analysis Hazard Impact Analysis Hazard Maps

10. Data Preparation

11. Data Sources National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)‏  Tornadoes, large hail, severe wind,extreme heat, freezing precipitation, snowfall data US Geologic Survey (USGS)  Seismic and landslide hazard areas Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)‏  Flooding Geospatial Multi-Agency Coordination (GeoMAC) group  Wildfires Source: USGS Source: NOAA NHC Source: GeoMAC Source: USACE

12. Data Sources National Transportation Atlas Database (NTAD)‏  Airports, major highways, railroads Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)‏  Population density Illinois Emergency Management Agency (IEMA)‏  Emergency management areas and offices

13. Spatial Analysis

14. Reclassification

15. Weighting

17. Composite Index [flood]*0.1875 + [tornado]*0.1875 + [hail]*0.125 + [wind]*0.125 + [winter_wx]*0.125 + [drought]*0.125 + [landslide]*0.0625 + [earthquake]*0.0625

18. Geoprocessing Model

19. Temporal Analysis JANFEB MARAPRMAYJUN DECNOV OCTSEPAUGJUL

20. Hazard Impact Analysis Key InfrastructuresPopulations Emergency Management Areas

21. Potential Limitations Data  Availability  Resolution Scope of hazards  Natural, technological, man-made Source: CNN

22. Timeline Prepare Project Abstract Hazards Research Literature Review Data Collection & Preparation Prepare Final Presentation Prepare Final Paper Prepare Proposal Paper & Presentation Spatial Analysis & Methodology Model Development Apply Model to Illinois Oct 08Nov 08Dec 08Jan 09Feb 09Mar 09Apr 09 Project Proposal Presentation Submit Abstract for ESRI Federal User Conf. Conference Presentation ESRI Federal User Conf. GEOG 596B Course End Date

23. Progress Literature review Data preparation Spatial analysis Model development Apply model to Illinois Final Presentation In Progress In Progress Starting FEB

24. Summary Composite and monthly hazard index Geoprocessing model Hazard impact map products  Key infrastructure  Population exposure  Emergency management areas

25. Questions jhl167@psu.edu www.personal.psu.edu/jhl167